Friday, December 27, 2019
Alcoholism proves to be a leading cause of brain damage and body malfunction all across America, ultimately endangering your life and the ones around you, but overcoming alcoholism seems to be a harder obstacle to overcome because this addictive drug imprints denial on your brain and makes you think you can stop drinking whenever you want. Denial is one of the hardest hurdles to jump over to getting help for alcoholism and abuse. The desire to drink is so strong that the mind finds ways to rationalize drinking, even when consequences are obvious. Their behavior and negative affects denial also exacerbates alcohol related problems with work, finances, and relationships. If oneÃ¢â¬â¢s self finds themselves rationalizing their drinking habits, lying about them, or refusing to talk about them, they should try to take a moment to consider why are they so defensive. If a person doesnÃ¢â¬â¢t believe they have a drinking problem than there should be no excess of trying to hide the obvio us truth. Although some cases are likely to be less obvious, these groups of people generally started drinking excessively later in life and their need for alcohol has not yet resulted in profound debilitation. Regardless of the obviousness or clarity of the alcohol problem, Ã¢â¬Å"patientsÃ¢â¬ are far more likely to announce their drinking problem openly. This is where we get into areas of treatment and the most delicate aspects of handling alcoholic clients. A survey of American adults showed that drug use disorderShow MoreRelatedAlcoholism : A Growing Problem1468 Words Ã |Ã 6 PagesAlcoholism Alcoholism is a growing problem in today s society. What is alcoholism? Is it a disease? What are the causes of it? What toll does alcohol abuse have on individuals? American society? American economy? What kind of treatments are available to reduce/cure alcoholism? What is alcoholism? Alcoholism is a physical or psychological need for an alcoholic beverage, which is taken for non-medical reasons and produces a noticeable effect on the body (Sheen 93). People develop the need for alcoholRead MoreAlcoholism a Social Problem?1593 Words Ã |Ã 7 PagesThe Social Problem The social problem that was identified in the helping relationship is a return to alcohol use or relapse. The participant in the helping project admitted she had been in substance abuse treatment twice, but was unable to remain abstinent from alcohol use. This, according to her is a relapse, however, Miller (1996) identifies relapse as a return to alcohol and/or drug dependent behavior in a person who has previously achieved and maintained abstinence for a significantRead MoreAlcoholism as a Social Problem792 Words Ã |Ã 4 PagesS. Surgeon General, The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and the National Institute on Drug Abuse) is five or more drinks in a row for men, and four or more in a row for women. Drinking levels this high significantly increase the problems the drinkers and for those around them. What is Alcohol Poisoning? Alcohol poisoning occurs when a person drinks a large quantity of alcohol in a short amount of time. The amount of alcohol in the bloodstream is called the blood alcohol concentrationRead MoreDrug Abuse And Addiction : The Problem With Alcoholism856 Words Ã |Ã 4 PagesHave you been having more memory Ã¢â¬Å"blackoutsÃ¢â¬ recently? In my family I have people that have a problem with alcohol, most of my family can handle alcohol but a couple cannot handle their alcohol. Ã¢â¬Å"Addiction is defined as a chronic, relapsing brain disease that is characterized by compulsive drug seeking and use, despite harmful consequences.Ã¢â¬ (The Science of Drug Abuse and Addiction: The Basics) Alcoholism appears in people in different way some people can handle it and some people cannot and someRead MoreAlcoholism Among Adolescents : A Public Health Problem935 Words Ã |Ã 4 PagesAlcoholism amongst adolescents is a major public health problem. The purpose of researching alcoholism amongst adolescents is because alcohol is a drug. The drug of alcoholism is the most common and also the most abused drug amongst adolescents. The CDC (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention) believes that alcoholism amongst adolescents can lead to binge drinking and its on the rise. The CDC states, Ã¢â¬Å" Alcohol use is responsible for more than 4,300 annual deaths among underage youth. AlthoughRead More The Problem of Teen Alcoholism in the United States Essay1870 Words Ã |Ã 8 Pagesteens are full of alcohol. Other drugs rise and fall in popularity from generation to generation, but alcohol never really goes out of style. From being worshiped by the ancient Babylonians to being forbidden to teenagers, alcohol has caused many problems. Today, drinking is the drug of choice by teens and causes most wrecks and deaths today. To understand alcohol people must first know the history of alcohol, the effects of teen drinking, and the solutions to teen drinking. Ã Ã Ã Ã Ã Alcohol has beenRead More The Problem of Teen Alcoholism in the United States Essay3674 Words Ã |Ã 15 Pages Teen alcoholism is a problem that has been plaguing the United States for many decades now. The legal age for alcohol consumption is twenty-one years old in every state of the United States, but this law is commonly broken. The fact that it has not been strictly enforced caused an outbreak of alcohol consumption between minors all over, and because of this, we have been accepting teenage drinking more than ever. The problem lies in the lack of law enforcement, the acceptance by parents and guardiansRead MoreAlcoholism Is the Worst Drug Problem in the U.S. Essay561 Words Ã |Ã 3 Pagesevery 30 minutes due to an automobile accident caused by alcohol. Not only does alcohol kill, it clouds decisions, and is involved in a large percent of crime. Alcohol doesnÃ¢â¬â¢t stop there it negatively effects our youth. Alcohol is the worst drug problem in the U.S. WeÃ¢â¬â¢ve all heard the phrase donÃ¢â¬â¢t drink and drive but how many people listen to this common sense. According to a statistic taken by the Century Council, 31 percent of car fatalities involved alcohol in 2013. Around fifty thousand claimsRead More The Problem of Teen Alcoholism in the United States Essay1102 Words Ã |Ã 5 Pagescommonsense, but what is more, something that every one knows about in general but may not in particular. Alcohol use among teenagers is a serious problem and is responsible for death and injury in automobile accidents, physical and emotional disability, deterioration of academic performances, aggressive behavior that causes a number of other sociological problems in families and among friends. It is also the primary cause of criminal behavior and a leading cause of broken marriages. As we know its a broadRead MoreSocial Problems Of Alcoholism, Drug Addiction, And Mental Illness818 Words Ã |Ã 4 Pagesnew understanding of different social prob lems. The variety of social problems presented introduced me to a couple of social problems I had not given much thought to before. It also surprised me that every person in the class knew at least one person that had been affected by a certain social problem. Through the solutions presented in these presentations, I have gained knowledge of I can personally help eliminate some aspects of different social problems. The three presentations I believed to
Thursday, December 19, 2019
With every phone call after that day, I wished it was Vineet. On one such routine day, I ran towards the phone and to my satisfaction he was Vineet who said, Ã¢â¬Å"Thank you. That is an amazing car I ever had.Ã¢â¬ I was so happy that day since my efforts paid off, but there remained a feeling of guilt. Few weeks back, my friends decided to give a gift to Vineet since he was recovering from nephrotic syndrome and asked me for a contribution. I said, Ã¢â¬Å"I would rather buy skates for myselfÃ¢â¬ . Later that week, we visited him and he was looking helpless and weak on his bed. But, on seeing us he was so surprised and delighted when he received the gift. He thanked everyone and said, Ã¢â¬Å"Thank you! That is an amazing toy-carÃ¢â¬ . I said with a feeling of guilt, Ã¢â¬Å"Sorry but IÃ¢â¬â¢ve made no contribution for your giftÃ¢â¬ . Intending to do something special for him and the fact that my friendÃ¢â¬â¢s family was moving to another city, I put my efforts in making a battery operated toy-car by myself. By the time toy-car was ready, my friend had left for the city. I had an easy option to ask my father to buy something for Vineet but instead I chose a harder way, because it was my mistake and only I could have fixed it. I then sent the toy-car via courier. Later he called me up and said those above words. But the guilt in me ever remained that I did not see him smile. The love for Internal Medicine comes from the lesson learnt in childhood that once the right time is gone it doesnÃ¢â¬â¢t come back. Out of all theShow MoreRelatedProduct Placement10682 Words Ã |Ã 43 Pagescinemas earliest history. Before films were even narrative forms in the sense that they are recognised today, industrial concerns funded the making of what film scholar Tom Gunning has described as cinematic attractions these were short films of no longer than one or two minutes. In the first decade or so of film history (1895-1907) audiences did not go to see films as narrative art forms but as fairground attractions interesting for the amazing visual effects they appeared to be. This formatRead MoreProduct Placement10670 Words Ã |Ã 43 Pagescinemas earliest history. Before films were even narrative forms in the sense that they are recognised today, industrial concerns funded the making of what film scholar Tom Gunning has described as cinematic attractions these wer e short films of no longer than one or two minutes. In the first decade or so of film history (1895-1907) audiences did not go to see films as narrative art forms but as fairground attractions interesting for the amazing visual effects they appeared to be. This formatRead More Robert Altmans Film Adaptation of Raymond Carvers Short Cuts4363 Words Ã |Ã 18 Pagesbetween their actions and the ramifications of those actions. And while a typical director of a slice-of-life work might be content to show all these people in their ignorance of connections, what makes Altmans final product so marvelous is the way he toys with them, and the comments he makes about them. The obvious route to take when turning an anthology into a single, (more or less) cohesive piece is to show that its a small world, after all, that everyones life is intertwined with everyoneRead MoreEssay Developmental Psychology and Children43507 Words Ã |Ã 175 Pageshygiene, cleanliness and minimising the risk of infection; outings and trips; fire safety; the condition of prams, pushchairs, highchairs and low chairs; the use of safety harnesses; the condition of toys and other equipment; sandpits and their protection from contamination; furniture, equipment and toys; the arrangements for monitoring children who are sleeping; linens such as bedding and towels; any other relevant areas. 3.34 Providers should take into account Department of Health advice on reducingRead MoreProject Managment Case Studies214937 Words Ã |Ã 860 PagesConstruction Corporation 263 7 PROJECT PLANNING 267 258 Greyson Corporation 269 Teloxy Engineering (A) 274 Teloxy Engineering (B) 276 Payton Corporation 277 Spin Master Toys (A): Finding A Manufacturer for E-Chargers Spin Master Toys (B): A New E-Chargers Supplier (see handout provided by instructor) Spin Master Toys (C): Keeping E-Chargers Wings On (see handout provided by instructor) 8 PROJECT SCHEDULING 293 279 Crosby Manufacturing Corporation 9 PROJECT EXECUTION 299 295 Read MoreMarketing Management 14th Edition Test Bank Kotler Test Bank173911 Words Ã |Ã 696 PagesEasy 6) As economies advance, a growing proportion of their activities focuses on the production of ________. A) products B) events C) experiences D) luxury goods E) services Answer: E Page Ref: 5 Objective: 2 Difficulty: Moderate 7) Car rental firms, hair dressers, and management consultants provide ________. A) goods B) experiences C) events D) services E) information Answer: D Page Ref: 5 Objective: 2 AACSB: Analytic skills Difficulty: Easy 8) The Soccer World CupRead MoreBusiness Strategies Of Tesco PLC24572 Words Ã |Ã 99 Pagesretailors more closely to their customers than manufacturing organisations (Reynolds, 2004). According to Mulhern (1997), initially the retailerÃ¢â¬â¢s actions were focused towards product variety, which now has moved towards customer care by means of personal contacts, gathering information and compiling data about customer needs and to exploit the customer behaviour, their buying habits and their preferences and expectations. According to Zentes el al (2007), the dynamics of retail sector are rapidlyRead MoreExploring Corporate Strategy - Case164366 Words Ã |Ã 658 Pagesadvantage. A company that developed a strong global franchise with its customers could maximise return on its in-house products and was in a good position to attract the best in-licensing candidates. The traditional focus of drug marketing was the personal Ã¢â¬ËdetailÃ¢â¬â¢ in which a sales representative (rep) discussed the merits of a drug in a face-toface meeting with a doctor and often handed over free samples. Pharmaceutical promotion was subject to industry self-regulation. For example, in th e UK, repsRead MoreMonsanto: Better Living Through Genetic Engineering96204 Words Ã |Ã 385 Pagesreal-life situation that faced managers as well as other stakeholders, including employees. A case presented in narrative form provides motivation for involvement with and analysis of a speciÃ¯ ¬ c situation. By framing alternative strategic actions and by confronting the complexity and ambiguity of the practical world, case analysis provides extraordinary power for your involvement with a personal learning experience. Some of the potential consequences of using the case method are summarised in Exhibit 1Read MoreOne Significant Change That Has Occurred in the World Between 1900 and 2005. Explain the Impact This Change Has Made on Our Lives and Why It Is an Important Change.163893 Words Ã |Ã 656 Pagesall the more lamentable. Taken together, the key themes and processes that have been selected as the focus for each of the eight essays provide a way to conceptualize the twentieth century as a coherent unit for teaching, as well as for written narrative and analysis. Though they do not exhaust the crucial strands of historical development that tie the century togetherÃ¢â¬âone could add, for example, nationalism and decolonizationÃ¢â¬âthey cover in depth the defining phenomena of that epoch, which, as
Wednesday, December 11, 2019
Question: Discuss about the Operators and Development Organisations in Tourism . Answer: Introduction Tourism is a major foreign exchange earner for Australia. In cities like Sydney, the arrival of tourists depends greatly on theme tourists. Such tourists, who come in groups, are visiting this magnificent city with the purpose of exploring the various cultural aspects of Australia. For economic and social reasons, forecasts about tourist arrivals becomes important as it enables the various tourism related sectors of the country such as airlines, hotels and other service providers. This forecasting also helps all these stakeholders in making preparation for the expected number of tourists at a given future period, assert Buhalis Crotts, (2013). This paper makes the attempt at forecasting arrival of tourists, especially in Sydney, by using the Statistical Time Series Modelling Techniques. Techniques used by the author include Double Exponential Smoothing and Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA). All the data related to arrival of tourists in Sydney has been obtained from Australia Bureau of Statistics, the Australian Trade Commission and Department of Tourism, Government of New South Wales, as per Erskine Meyer, (2012). The author has used the tourist arrivals for the period 2006 to 2015 for model validation. Arrivals of international tourists and the revenues generated from these international tourists have been used by nations across the globe as benchmark aggregate series for arriving at an assessment of the importance of tourism by specific countries. Nations often make use of advertising campaigns and international political discussion forums for arriving at a higher international tourist arrivals level so as to emphasize the success of their country in the international community, say Evans, Stonehouse Campbell, (2012). On the same scale, a sizeable increase in international tourist revenues become a good indicator of the role played by tourism in the economy of a nation when assessing its Gross Domestic Product and foreign exchange generation. Subsequently, the policy makers get convinced and assist in development of tourism and to further increase the profitability from these enhanced tourism activities. In Australia, the overseas visitors contributed about 25% of the total touri sm earnings of the country. In 2014-15, the revenue generated from overseas visitors was $32billion and it represented about 11% of Australias total export revenue, asserts Harris, (2012). Tourism Forecasting Methodology Rapid global growth of the tourism industry across all nations in the past 20 years is instrumental in contributing highly to the economy of that nation. The research data provided by World Travel Tourism Council (WTTC) has shown that output value of global tourism, including other sectors related to tourism, was US$5.474 trillion and this was 9.4% of the Global GDP in 2009. According to WITC, this output value of global tourism industry may reach US$10.478 trillion, generating 9.5% of Global GDP by 2019, as detailed by Gilligan Hird, (2012). Methodologies used for tourism forecasting can be broadly divided into Qualitative and Quantitative methodologies. Regardless of the forecasting methodology used, this author has noticed that usefulness of the tourism demand forecasting model is actually based on the accuracy of the tourism demand forecasts which the technique generates, especially when it is measured in comparison with the actual inflow of the tourist arrivals, as defined by Hall, Timothy Duval, (2012). In this regard, there are five patterns in use while working on a tourism time series: Seasonality Stationarity Linear Trend Non-linear Trend and Stepped Series. It has also been observed that while forecasting, the single variable approach has limitations as it lacks in explanatory variables. Also, because it is best suitable when making short- to medium-term forecasting, assert Erskine Meyer, (2012). Another factor in this approach are the factors which are directly related to seasonality, trend and cycle, as they change slowly and can be best extrapolated in the short- to medium term forecasting, say Huimin, Ryan, (2011). The conventional tourism demand forecasting methodologies have been categorised as Univariate Time-series Approaches and Multivariate Demand Modelling Approaches. In this respect, say Lemelin, Dawson Stewart (ed.), (2013), the latter can be implemented by using either a conventional four-step travel planning model or direct demand model. As far as overseas tourist demand forecasting is concerned, the direct demand modelling approach has been used more often because of its capability to identify the demand elasticity which is helpful in representing the causal relationship between the demand and the explanatory variables, assert Lemelin, Dawson Stewart (ed.), (2013). However, in many of the forecasting studies conducted, one of the factors comprises of the facilities which the tourists demand and the prices at which the tours are offered. Under such circumstances, this model has shown that the Univariate Approach has been able to demonstrate a better prediction accuracy. The universal application of the Univariate Time-series Models, according to Jung, Namkung Yoon, (2012), in arriving at an accurate overseas tourist demand forecasting has established the superiority of this forecasting model in this field. Univariate Time-series Model This paper uses the univariate model and the multivariate direct demand model for forecasting overseas tourist arrival in Sydney. The author has used the ARIMA model for Univariate Time-series Analysis and this discussion is based on the dynamic Partial Adjustment Model (PAM), which is constructed from the Sydney Household Travel Survey (SHTS), as explained by Jung, Namkung Yoon, (2012). For the direct demand modelling approach ARIMA model has been used. This author has found that using a number of time-series models, which have been developed for the purpose of forecasting, does not in fact specify a superior time-series model, as this author has noticed and as has been detailed by Evans, Stonehouse Campbell, (2012), that the forecasting power solely depends on the nature of the data used and the context in which the study has been conducted. The ARIMA model, which was introduced by Box and Jenkins in 1970, has been the most widely used time-series model because of its capability to process non-stationary as well as the seasonal data. Hence, instead going into the comparison of performance of the different univariate time-series models available, the focus of this paper is on the forecasting power between univariate modelling technique and multivariate modelling technique, assert Lemelin, Dawson Stewart (ed.), (2013). This paper also looks at their implications for their practical use of tourist demand forecasting. Hence, the author has selected the ARIMA model for the univariate analysis in this paper solely because of its popularity in tourist demand forecasting studies as well as its flexibility while using a wide range of applications. The ARIMA model, typically denoted as an ARIMA (p, q) model, consists of the Auto-Regressive (AR) term and the Moving Average (MA) term. The AR (p) model uses p lags of time for predicting the dependent variable y as is specified below in equation which is referred to as ARIMA (p, 1, q) Equation. Data plotted in Graph-1 shows that the time series was a non-stationary one as there was certain trend component present in the flow of data. As per the available trend shown, the data was made into a stationary one by taking into consideration the first order difference (d = 1). The arrived at time series of this differenced data has been shown in Graph-2. Using the R-language for different values of p and q, the author arrived at different results of the ARIMA model, which were fitted for comparison with the requirements and then the best model was selected based on the minimum values prescribed in the selection criteria. For this purpose, this paper chose the Akaike Information Criteria (AIC), the formula for which is given in the equation shown below. Based on these findings, this author arrived at the best ARIMA (1, 1, 1) model. The best model was represented by the following equation. The author also made use of the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) technique and the Mean Absolute Percentage Error technique (MAPE) using the following formulae for arriving at the best ARIMA Model. In making all these estimations, this author has used the Maximum Likelihood Estimation Technique (MLET). After this, use of data was made for forecasting the arrival of international tourists for the period 2006 to 2015 and the relevant values have been shown in the Table shown in the Appendix. List of References Buhalis, D. and Crotts, J. 2013. Global alliances in tourism and hospitality management. Routledge, Oxon. Erskine, L. M. and Meyer, D. 2012. Influenced and influential: The role of tour operators and development organisations in tourism and poverty reduction in Ecuador. Journal of Sustainable Tourism, 20(3), 339-357. Evans, N., Stonehouse, G. and Campbell, D. 2012. Strategic management for travel and tourism. Taylor Francis, New York. Gilligan, C. and Hird, M. 2012. International marketing: strategy and management (Vol. 17). Routledge, Oxon. Hall, C. M., Timothy, D. J. and Duval, D. T. 2012. Safety and security in tourism: relationships, management, and marketing. Routledge, Oxon. Harris, L. C. 2012. Ripping off tourists: an empirical evaluation of tourists perceptions and service worker (mis) behavior. Annals of Tourism Research, 39(2), 10701093. Huimin, G. and Ryan, C. 2011. Ethics and corporate social responsibilityAn analysis of the views of Chinese hotel managers. International Journal of Hospitality Management, 30, 875885. Jung, H. S., Namkung, Y., Yoon, H. H. 2012. The effects of employees business ethical value on personorganization fit and turnover intent in the foodservice industry. International Journal of Hospitality Management, 29(3), 538546 Lemelin, H., Dawson, J., Stewart, E. J. (Eds.). 2013. Last chance tourism: Adapting tourism opportunities in a changing world. Routledge, Oxon.
Tuesday, December 3, 2019
Perfect Crime Essay Genre:Crime thiller Story draft: Two cops were deliberately challenged by an unknown figure to solve few crimes committed by him. Each of this crime leads to the identity of the villain. He wants the cops to admit that hes the perfect crimester. 1st crime:Bank robbery Using sonar technology(dark knight),villain gets the 3d map of the bank. On the day of the execution,2 masked mens glides from one roof to the banks roof. 1 of them heads to the ventilation and the other heads to the telephone and security alarm system of the bank. nd robber dis-alarms the security system and the other adds chloroform to the air ventilation system. After 10 minutes,2 robbers enters the bank and they lock up the front door indicating its close. All four of them rushes to the vault and starts drilling. Click. Vaults open as the four robbers rushes and starts filling the cash in a garbage bag. They rush to the back emergency door and place the garbage bags filled with money in the trash bin and runs away i n taxi. Moments later,police comes to the crime scene and starts to rush into the building. A garbage truck comes by and collects all the trash and leaves. 2nd crime:Gold bar heist While closing hours,the owner of a big jewelery shop was waiting for the arrival of huge amounts of gold bars illegally brought in from africa. The owner had the company of four call girls who was flirting with him. The owner receives a text message saying that the golds have arrived. He heads down to assist them to unload. Soon as the unloading finishes,the owner heads up stairs where the call girls were waiting for him. 1 of them seduces him and lays him on the bed while another girl gave him a pill claiming that it was a erection enhancement pill. The owner takes the pill and sleeps off. The girls head down and doing all the neccesary stuffs like shutting of the cameras and security alarms,filling all the gold bars in a bag and leaving the place within 15 minutes Hero arrives at the first crime scene analyzing the details. Heroin analyzes the second crime scene. We will write a custom essay sample on Perfect Crime specifically for you for only $16.38 $13.9/page Order now We will write a custom essay sample on Perfect Crime specifically for you FOR ONLY $16.38 $13.9/page Hire Writer We will write a custom essay sample on Perfect Crime specifically for you FOR ONLY $16.38 $13.9/page Hire Writer